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AI Is Starting to Look Like the Dot Com Bubble
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this post was submitted on 13 Aug 2023
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Pro tip: when you start to see articles talking a bout how something looks like a bubble, it means it's already popped and anybody who hasn't already cashed in their investment is a bag-holder.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bubble
At least we got something out of the dot-com bubble. What do you think are the useful remnants, if you think it's over? It still feels like the applications are in the very beginning. Not the actual tech, that's actually been performance and dataset size and tweak updates since 2012.
The AI bubble produced many useful products already, many of which will remain useful even after the bubble popped.
The term bubble is mostly about how investment money flows around. Right now you can get near infinite moneys if you include the term AI in your business plan. Many of the current startups will never produce a useful product, and after the bubble has truly popped, those who haven't will go under.
Amazon, ebay, booking and cisco survived the dotcom bubble, as they attracted paying users before the bubble ended. Things like github copilot, dalee, chat bots etc are genuinely useful products which have already attracted paying cusomers. Some of these products may end up being provided by competitors of the current providers, but someone will make long term money from these products.