this post was submitted on 13 Jun 2025
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[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 14 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 Washington Post: 'Israel will only be able to maintain shooting down Iranian ballistic missiles for 10 or 12 more days, then they will need to start rationing munitions'

This could explain why Iran is opting to launch small but consecutive waves. Iran is likely using up some of their older / less sophisticated missiles to deplete Israeli defenses, to make way for the 'real' stuff later on. This is attritional warfare.

In most cases, a small wave of 3-5 Iranian ballistic missiles is enough to prompt the launch of about 10-15 Israeli interceptor missiles, with each one costing at least $12 million dollars (in the case of THAAD).

In contrast, even Iran's most modern missile, the Fattah-1, only costs about $200,000 to produce, according to the IRGC. If we assume 12 interceptors for one Fattah-1 missile (as seen in a video today), that means Israel is spending $144 million dollars to 'intercept' (not always successfully) a single Iranian hypersonic missile.

This is simply not sustainable. Within about two weeks, if Iran keeps up the current pace of fire, Israeli airspace will be at the mercy of Iran's far larger and more destructive solid fuel bsllistic missiles. Unless, of course, the U.S. intervenes directly.

@Middle_East_Spectator

[–] ComradePupIvy@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

The US has shown recently it cannot even really hold its own in wars of attrition, so I think even with US suport, short of a nuke Iran has the edge, my worry is if the US either uses a nuke or is some how able to blitz

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 2 weeks ago

That's my thoughts exactly.