this post was submitted on 07 Jul 2025
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If we weigh correctly all of the internal and external conditions within Russia, the possibility tilts much more favorably to Russia returning to Socialism than to a reminiscent July Monarchy as you suggested. Capitalism by nature is unsustainable and a monarchy even more. Adding to that, comrades in Russia are working hard to raise the class consciousness of their people and we are seeing plenty of qualitative changes mounting up.
Anyway, Russians are more warm to the idea of returning to the USSR rather than a Tsarist regime. If people wanted a Tsarist(monarchist) regime again, we wouldn't have beautiful pictures like this one:
I'm not saying literal monarchy, but similar uneasy compromise with "accepting the revolution of the past" made by reactionaries to stave off a new revolution.
Without the material extraction or support of an imperialist country, it is downright impossible to achieve that compromise that you are speculating. Besides that, we have to add into the mix that the external AES countries are growing more and more prosperous and their youth are having active exchanges with the Russians.
Also, the revolutionary momentum in Russia is only getting hotter now that interactions with AES is consolidating and permeating in all of the russian working class.
It is possible, but it would not be long-lasting, and there is a high probability of a new revolution (just like historical July Monarchy, which lasted for 18 years).