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Is The United State Fighting A Proxy War?
(lemmy.ml)
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this post was submitted on 05 Sep 2024
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Saudi Arabia actually had consequences after the assassination of Jamal Koshogshi. Minor ones, but still.
Israel will never have consequences. It is just vastly more important - in fact, Israel is a tool to control Egypt and Saudi Arabia in the first place!
If Israel was that useful as a tool to control Egypt, sure would like those billions of dollars back...
And I have a feeling they'll have some consequences. We may not all see the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict the same way, I have a feeling you're not aware of any of the Arab atrocities from the early 20th century, before Israel was ever a nation. But this time they've lost a lot of support in the US for the first time in our history, and that will likely have an impact on future political calculations.
The bipartisan consensus on Israel is ironclad, elections don't matter nearly as much as Israel does to the US empire.
I do no expect anything to change unless Israel, itself, enters a crisis that would require direct boots the ground. That might be the breaking point. Otherwise? Unlimited US/NATO bloc support.
Israel isn't the only tool they need to control the likes of Egypt and Saudi Arabia - they need direct support too, especially Egypt, which would probably be controlled by the Muslim Brotherhood without US support. But, Israel is still critical as part of the broader strategy.
I guess you don't think our politicians care which of them are in charge? And I'm not so sure about ironclad, we've withheld aid in past decades.
I really question exactly how Israel has significant influence over Egypt. Much less Saudi Arabia, which isn't even a neighbor and has significantly more wealth and influence than Israel does.
Saudi Arabia learned its lesson in the Yom Kippur War. Do not fuck with the USs unsinkable aircraft carrier.
As for Egypt, Israel is extremely important for transporting natural gas and, to a lesser extent, important as a trading partner. They also cooperate on security matters wrt terrorism.
Of course, the US is also very important for ensuring all its other puppets in the region play nice with Israel. Israel, itself, has influence because it is an extension of the US and more important than any mere puppet.
The Saudis barely participated in Yom Kippur, from some brief googling they deployed a single battalion that saw a little bit of fighting in the Golan Heights. I honestly wasn't even aware they had participated militarily.
Their much bigger impact was the oil embargo against the US, which caused rather famous gas shortages here and one of the most severe recessions we've ever had, during the Nixon years. Perhaps seeing the rest of the coalition demolished was enough? Though there were clear reasons for the Israeli victory that aren't that difficult to understand. It's far more specific than just Israel strong or something like that. That oil embargo ended up proving the power of OPEC though, dramatically strengthening the Saudi's position on the global stage, which persists to this day.
Regarding NG, the main pipeline through the area for exporting Egyptian NG actually takes some pains to go around Israel, rather than through it.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arab_Gas_Pipeline