As some users are correctly pointing out, the midgame of the rise of fascist powers in the colonies would appear to involve private space corporations equipping the Trump regime with nuclear armed satellites.
Hypothetically I am a middle-aged white guy in average health with statistically solid odds to have another 15 years of time on this earth, and then we'll bell curve my life expectancy based on that (30 years likely, 45 years likely not). I live in the colonies, but hypothetically I'm not cut off short by the regime personally, either ๐. However feel free to include me in hypothetical MCEs or extinction events in your guesses.
My guess is that I am likely to live to see cascade events leading to a pretty significant manifestation of the Kessler Syndrome.
Here are some things I am considering:
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Private Space Corps, especially Space X, are prone to frequent accidents and pollute at regionally disruptive scale as a regular course of business
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Even from my very limited vantage point on the "Western" English-speaking internet, it is clear that U.S. & USD Based Private Space Corps are only one of a handful of highly space capable powers, and nuclear powers number in the double digits
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Satellites seem comparably easy to destroy and non-state powers are probably capable of it
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Seems like it wouldn't take a whole lot of nukes going off
Anyway keep it light^1^ let's keep in mind that we are discussing a hypothetical model of the author, not the poor slob who wrote this post, so it's cool if he gets exploded by a hypothetical man-made trash asteroid or whatever.
- "What do you mean, 'keep it light?' This seems like a doomer post!" No, this is a Godzilla 2 on NES post. This post originates from my deep deep meditations on the manifestations of King Ghidorah, and whether the JDF would be able, under any circumstances, to mount a successful defense against them^2^. In my unfathomable ponderings I realized that humanity is in fact manifesting King Ghidorah by allowing the demon TESCREAL to manifest its space hydra. So it isn't doomerism, I'm trying to beat a Nintendo game.
- "What do you mean 'against them?'" King Ghidorah is a plurality, so I use they/them pronouns when contemplating their destruction.
*edit 1 just to be clear i am an anti-fascist and i think these outcomes are bad
**edit 2 added citation for TESCREAL so people don't think I'm bonkers
Cascading into a shitty field ๐