this post was submitted on 14 May 2025
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What are your thoughts on the MaiaSpace offshoot of ArianeGroup? Do you think they'll be successful enough to carve out a segment of the launch market?
I hope so! Working on a reusable first stage is a good start, and hopefully they're able to leverage Ariane resources but not need to deal with the bureaucracy. I haven't seen enough hardware from them to feel confident yet, though. They're targeting a late 2026 launch, which means 2027, and it better mean PLD, Isar, and RFA have all launched multiple times by then, which makes their business case tougher until/unless they get reuse working.