It's really hard to tell what's really going on. The whole 'freedom march' or whatever thas was called was called out so quickly and without much public discourse that it's possible that the whole circus was set up beforehand so that Prigorzin could just get out of the front lines and replace Lukachenko (who seems to have health issues) to keep Belarus at control before they rise and start to demand better future for their country.

On the other hand it's equally possible that Pringles thought that the only way out from the front lines is either to become fertilizer for for sunflowers or go through Moscow and he got Belarus and his most loyal mens in exchange. impossible to tell, maybe one day we'll know the whole trutth, but I'm not holding my breath while waiting.

In any case it seems like Ukraine has around 5k fewer enemies to worry about in the immediate future. Personally I think the whole thing went trough too easily, so it's either that it was planned in advance or the situation at Russia is really messed up and this was the best they could do in the current situation.

Personally I'm not sure which would be better. Either Belarus will be even more under the Russian control or the Russia itself is practically breaking up. Upcoming weeks and months will likely reveal what's the real outcome, but as a Finn I'm glad that our air force has posted images from their excersises with nato lately.