"In Danger" means "Seat in doubt". Nobody knows, it's all speculation.
Antony Green even this afternoon still thinks Adam is in there with a shot. Although he's gone from "I think he'll retain it" even as recently as yesterday to "Too close to call" this afternoon.

It's been a fascinating seat to watch though. This is all because Melbourne's electoral lines were redrawn in October:

They took away Fitzroy North and Clifton Hill and gave him South Yarra and part of Prahan instead. This has done fairly predictable things to his votes.

[–] Lodespawn@aussie.zone 5 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Well at least he's not potentially losing his seat to that evil prick Tim Wilson.

[–] Tenderizer@aussie.zone 4 points 2 days ago

Or Amelia Hamer, the fake renter in Kooyong. Or the cashed-up Andrew Lethlean in Bendigo.

Even if all the other in-doubt seats go to the LNP, I hope these three sats don't.

[–] SpicyLizards@reddthat.com -5 points 2 days ago (1 children)

After stalling positive environmental legislation all last year, probably for the best.

Let something good through, even if it's not good enough. Something is better than nothing.

[–] Ilandar@lemm.ee 17 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Something good is not better than something really good, though. That's always where the balance lies for The Greens. They have an obligation to the hard left of their party to be tough negotiators but they do risk frustrating the softer left who ultimately don't want to see Labor governments being sacrificed in the pursuit of Greens objectives. Labor governments also have a responsibility to everyone, including their voters, to ensure legislation does actually get passed and that means they need to be willing to make concessions to The Greens. It is a line that is getting harder to navigate as The Greens grow and their relationship with Labor becomes more volatile due to greater influence in the electorate, particularly in those seats where they are now direct competitors to Labor.

[–] Tenderizer@aussie.zone 9 points 2 days ago

It's also important that the legislation survives a Liberal government, and can't be used as a campaign point by the Liberal government to win election (see 2013).

[–] Almacca@aussie.zone 3 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I have a vague wish that The Greens one day are able to form a majority government. Not because I'm especially on their side, although I have been known to vote for them, but because I'd like Australia to say 'Alright, you lot, let's see how it goes when you run things.' Why not? Could be funny, if nothing else.

[–] Ilandar@lemm.ee 3 points 1 day ago

Seems only fair, considering one of the biggest excuses people give for not voting Greens is "they don't have the experience". No fucking shit, you only get that from being consistently voted in lol