[-] miket@kbin.social 5 points 1 year ago

Question is, is it true?

[-] miket@kbin.social 4 points 1 year ago

That's nothing in the whole scheme. We're talking centuries here, not the last 24 years. Stalin, Gorbachev, Lenin, Bolsheviks, Romanov, Czars, Cath the Great, etc.

[-] miket@kbin.social 7 points 1 year ago

Rushing can also do more damage than helping; it all depends on what is happening for sure.

However, it is a double-edge sword here. One is that they don't need to waste limited resources they have (ammo, humans, tanks, etc) on units that may be called back to Russia to help against the rebellion or join the rebellion.

Waiting for that means they'll fight against much smaller units and so on, which can protect Ukrainian's soldiers from getting killed as well. So, they should take this time to shore up their offensive, give them breaks, watch for new weaknesses to appear and so on.

Slow and steady can be much more effective than fast and fail.

Remember that many Ukrainians do not want to kill Russians, many of Russian soliders are still their brothers and sisters that were conscripted or forced into this.

[-] miket@kbin.social 12 points 1 year ago

It's all word play, total information control and fog of war; by not attacking Putin directly, they avoid upsetting the Russians that still have total confidence in Putin and maintain that possibility that Wagner could still end up in alliance with Putin anyway, like with Chechens.

Attacking the military talking-heads however, doesn't risk anything, most Russians don't really trust the entire regime anyway, just Putin.

Once Wagner have more and more control of Russia, they can just go after Putin.

This is all speculation on my part tho.

[-] miket@kbin.social 5 points 1 year ago

They're on their own side, they're mercs and loyal to money, just like Wagner. Right now, they're taking Putin's money.

However, as soon as Putin's down or out of money, they'll switch sides easily.

Keep in mind that Chechens were at some point at war with Putin as well and Putin won that one. Kadyrov's an ally of Putin at this point.

[-] miket@kbin.social 5 points 1 year ago

That is true but that doesn't bode well for these developing countries either, no one benefits from Wanger taking over Russia, it can go wrong very fast.

[-] miket@kbin.social 7 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

The same boss that has said a lot of bullshit in the past several months and did nothing what they said they were going to do in public? ("Out of ammo" example)

He's a known liar. Don't believe his BS.

[-] miket@kbin.social 5 points 1 year ago

They're already moving fast toward Moscow. They're saying they're in Voronezh already but fog of war means we don't know for sure for a while.

They're taking over Rustov because of a huge military supply there.

[-] miket@kbin.social 21 points 1 year ago

Considering that they needed Wagner to take over many areas in Ukraine and their military couldn't do it, it'll be a huge headache.

It also destroys Putin's reputation of being in full charge. Think about the impact on the public, Putin has total informational control over Russia and this fucks him over.

Remember, they used to say that Wagner's head would be cut off quickly if they ever "think" of going against Putin and there you go, it's all BS.

[-] miket@kbin.social 7 points 1 year ago

Full coup won't end war, the assumption is that Wanger is for peace, it's a war-fighting merc company, war benefits them.

[-] miket@kbin.social 6 points 1 year ago

Zero chances it will end the war. Russians are used to swapping out regimes all the time.

This is just an infighting between two criminals, whoever wins is not going to be better for anyone.

Wanger is war fighting force, they're not a peace-keeping unit, they'll keep the war going if it benefits them.

[-] miket@kbin.social 4 points 1 year ago

The benefit is a distraction on the Russian military side, it may give the counteroffensive from Ukraine a tiny boost. The real impact is probably negligent, it's not going to make any major changes.

Also, FYI: it's not "Ukrainian invasion", Ukraine isn't invading anyone.

It's full-on war between Ukraine and Russia.

The impact on this isn't going to stop the war, only a surrender/peace agreement and full withdrawal of all Russian troops from Ukraine's 1991 borders will end the war.

Russians are used to swapping out regimes and leaderships all the time, so this may not change anything and the war against Ukraine can still continue under a different regime.

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miket

joined 1 year ago