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Trying to predict human ingenuity is hard (lemmy.world)

submitted 7 months ago by The_Picard_Maneuver@lemmy.world to c/facepalm@lemmy.world

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[-] Cosmicomical@lemmy.world 50 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

I would like to see thw math they did to come up with an estimate of a fucking million years. Any technological prediction farther away than 5 years means "we have no idea at all"

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[-] NounsAndWords@lemmy.world 23 points 7 months ago

It's easy, just assume linear growth and that absolutely no new innovations will ever be thought up.

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this post was submitted on 19 May 2024

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