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this post was submitted on 27 May 2024
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Ukraine
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Russia's reaction will be extremely interesting. I read somewhere that they said that an attack on their early warning systems will be countered with nuclear force.
They threatened the use of nuclear weapons so many times it has lost all meaning
Chinese final warning: putler edition
At that they probably only have a dozen that still work anyway.
This is an interesting take, and an actual possibility IMO as some stuff maintaining modern nuclear warheads are quite expensive. You gotta do it quite regularly too... I wonder how far corruption have made it.
I'd love to know more but I guess it's quite the secret.
I'd pay real money to know what processes are in place in the EU and US in the event that Russia deploys nuclear force. Like, what authorities and fast-response actions have already been authorized and prepped.
You know it's been discussed, and decisions have been made; I'd love to have fly-on-the-wall insight on these decisions.
I believe the US has said that it will engage with Russian forces in Ukraine if Russia uses any nukes.
Nice try, FSB
Curse you, capitalist dog! Have seen through my clever disguise and ruined plans!
The US has said that they will go all-in using their conventional forces. That'll be more than plenty
I... I'm not sure that putting boots on the ground will help if Russia is tossing nukes around. Assuming the nukes still work, of course, which is questionable given the state of the rest of their military.
But: air superiority would do a lot, and between that and cruise missile saturation, maybe no boots will be needed. Also, Ukraine targeting Russia's early warning systems does rather imply a set-up to prepare for air strikes.
Well, wait and see, I guess. My bet is that Ji made it clear to Putin that he was not allowed to employ nukes. That's not at all in China's interest, and Putin has to say, "yes, sir."
"pass me the butter, out I'll go nuclear"
Putin, to his maid over breakfast.
Go clean up your room or I'll start WW3!
They can't get off this nuclear Mexican standoff in any way victorious. They and nobody else.