Sorry, meant to reply to a Zionist comment justifying the Genocide. My sincere apologies.

To actually answer the question:

The war with Hezbollah is in my opinion likely. It has popular support among the Israelis and Netenyahu has been doing whatever to stave off an election. It'll still be an enormously costly war which will fill people with regret a couple of months after starting it.

There's another angle where he'll say "If you vote for me I'll get rid of Hezbollah once and for all like I did with Hamas" and then delay until he can say "Circumstances have changed" which I think is a better move.

PLEASE ASSUME EVERYTHING BELOW THIS LINE IS OUT OF CONTEXT AND MEANT AS A RESPONSE TO A GENOCIDAL ZIONIST BECAUSE I'M AN IDIOT

What kind of bubble do you live in? If you take 2 million people, close their airspace, ports and land borders they're not going to be happy.

On top of that Israel does the following:

• imprison kids for throwing rocks at soldiers wearing armor
• take people's houses, most recently in Sheikh Jarrah
• Ban farmers from using water, promise water from other sources and don't deliver.
• Close West Bank Airport
• Settle lands in he West Bank.
• Make Palestinians go to Military court with 99% conviction rate instead of a civil court.
• Administrative detetention without giving any reason. (Because classified)
• Withold evidence from courts that's used to convict them. (Because classified)
• Settlements are both within the 1948 borders and even within the Olso accord Green line.
• Beat people up and throw tear gas that go play at Al-Aqsa mosque.
• Don't convict any settlers of violence.
• Fondle women at check points when they open the trunk of their cars.
• Limit imports to single item per pallet.
• Limit work visas.
• Limit family reunification as a way to immigrate across the border.
• Random checkpoints that destroy tourism such as in Jericho.
• Open policy of disproportial response to every reaction the Palestinians have.
• Raid refugee camps and destroy their roads like in Jenin.
• Kill journalists that cover the story such as Shireen Abu Akleh
• Don't even convict the murdered because he was a soldier.
• Oh and kill/wound 5% of Gaza, half of which are children, for good measure.

When people are suffocating because someone has their foot on their throat they react. Nobody should be surprised that Oct 7 happened. Especially after Israel was warned many times that they would do something if they continue raiding one of the holiest sites in Islam.