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this post was submitted on 28 Jul 2024
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While better shot than Florida, NC is likely a lost cause. Went to Trump in both 2016 and 2020, has elected Robinson who is a not job to lieutenant governor... Yeah Cooper won it both times too but I can't understand how he won elections that at the same time went to Trump, Tillis, and Robinson... They have some polls pitting the well liked Cooper against Trump and Cooper still lost in those polls.
Obama was the only one in 20 years to win the state and only his first term, and only barely.
I would be ecstatic to be wrong, but probably a bad bet for relatively fewer potential electoral votes than other uses of their effort.
As someone who lives in NC, we're far more purple than you'd think, hell my county always goes blue
Sure, there are die hard blue countries, like Wake and Mecklenburg, but take a random exit off the freeways in rural areas and behold all the Trump number stickers, signs and flags that have been up basically since 2016 continuously.
Despite tending to elect Democrat governors, NC loves Republican senators, presidents, and lieutenant governors... It's bizarre. As mentioned NC went to Obama in 2008 (Barely), but other than that it's been a pretty comfortable win for Republican presidents for a long time.
The house and state legislators can be explained by the malicious districting, but the statewide elections also behave weird.