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NVIDIA Shares Wayland Driver Roadmap, Encourages Vulkan Wayland Compositors
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It's not a perfect comparison, but if we go by the Steam Hardware Survey, the first item I can find on the list that's not supported with the latest beta drivers is the GT 730, at 0.21% of users. And it's from June 2014.
Its passmark score is 835, which is lower than the 9 year old Intel HD 520 (867). I somehow doubt though that driver support for Vulkan/Wayland will be the major blocker.