This has been a long debate that I had with @multitotal@lemmygrad.ml and I wish to expose this here to add different points of view and enrich the discussion.
Context from my discussion with Multitotal -> https://lemmygrad.ml/post/6440034/5642022
This was a discussion made by multitotal and other people -> https://lemmygrad.ml/post/6447386/5645801
To start, I wish to lay the background of Syria with some sources from my own investigation.
Before the Civil War on 2011
Syria's economy was worth $68 billion, ranking 68th globally. It was a middle-income economy, on par with Paraguay and Slovenia, and boasted a diverse economic structure with low inflation.
Agriculture, industry, retail, and tourism were pillars of its stability. In 2009, agriculture contributed 22 percent to the economy, industry and excavation 25 percent, retail 23 percent and tourism 12 percent.
Toll of the war
The civil war obliterated this diversity. Agricultural output has plummeted by at least 50 percent, according to the World Food Program. Infrastructure vital to the industrial sector, once concentrated in Aleppo and Homs, has been reduced to rubble.
Oil production, a crucial export for Syria, has collapsed from 380,000 barrels per day in 2010 to 40,000 barrels per day today - a drop of nearly 90 percent.
Tourism, once a burgeoning sector drawing millions of visitors annually to historic sites like Palmyra, has all but disappeared.
Meanwhile, poverty is endemic. The UN estimates that over 90 percent of Syrians live below the poverty line, with more than half facing food insecurity. Inflation is rampant, and the Syrian pound, battered by years of war, has lost over 99 percent of its value since 2011.
How did it begin?
The creation of the Syrian Democratic Forces ->
Source -> https://disser.spbu.ru/files/2023/disser_en_yurk.pdf
Even with the US support, has the material reality improved for the Kurds?
With this, evidence suggests that it has not improved:
Source -> https://disser.spbu.ru/files/2023/disser_en_yurk.pdf
Kurds map 2018 ->
Evidence of US plunder of Syrian oil
Source -> https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202209/1274786.shtml
Now, with all of this context, I came to the following conclusion:
Supporting rojava or any other imperialist faction is the same as supporting the continuation of imperialist plunder of Syria. I prefer to advocate for the removal of the imperialist and for the unity of all of the people of Syria.
TLDR I don't support any imperialist funded faction but Syrian liberation from the imperialists. This means Syrian unity and not balkanization.
Hope to read all of your thoughts on this!!
Very good question! That's where the Russians and the remaining loyalist factions come into play(starting from here all of my thoughts here are speculation on my part). Russia will defend their bases in Syria including the access to the sea where the Tartus and Latakia bases are currently located and this might give a breathing room to the remaining loyalists to form guerrillas. Maybe, this is just cope from my part but anything can happen.
While the US proxies fight each other, this faction will grow in strength and in due time they might gain public support where syrians start to yearn for Al Assad again similarly to what happened in Libya with Gaddafi and Iraq with Saddam.
Also, Maher Al-Assad is regrouping in Iraq:
Source for the remaining loyalists -> https://t.me/wofnonchat/1845183 and https://news.cgtn.com/news/2024-12-10/Shifting-dynamics-in-Syria-highlight-a-nation-on-the-brink-of-change-1zdmY5neOR2/p.html
Source for Maher al-Assad (it's in Spanish)> https://x.com/CFBotonesNegros/status/1867671378415300748
It’s definitely good to learn of at least some remaining Syrian anti-imperialist resistance organizing. Hopefully the new reality (HTS rule, worsening material conditions, Turkish and Zionist occupation) and the lack of a unifying “common enemy” in Assad will galvanize more Syrians into recognizing the empire’s role in their declining living standards and uniting in opposition to the “new boss”.
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy: