exactly this right here. we saw the same phenomenon with threads and mastodon before it inre twitter annoying its userbase. depending on how engaged each wave of incoming users ends up, i'd guess you could expect it to look something like:

spike
drop off
plateau
spike
drop off
plateau above the last plateau
etc etc

sometimes the drop off is really bad. sometimes its just people getting bored with the initial hype while others stay. rinse and repeat until the platform succeeds or dies.

[–] sky_driver@citizensgaming.com 1 points 2 years ago (2 children)

I'm not sure what else will be able to cause a spike again. Reddits behavior over the past month is pretty much as terrible as it can get. If people aren't moving to Lemmy anymore, it's going to take something apocalyptic to cause Lemmys usercount to grow again.

[–] platysalty@kbin.social 2 points 2 years ago

is pretty much as terrible as it can get

I believe in the power of human ingenuity.

[–] Coelacanth@feddit.nu 1 points 2 years ago

They still have the Big Red Button of killing off old.reddit that they have yet to push.