this post was submitted on 11 Mar 2025
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For Darwin sake, everybody can read this, right?
First Trump showed Ukraine that he can make Ukraine lose without US support. This brought them to the table again.
Now he aims to show Russia that they can’t win when Ukraine has US support. Trump will support Ukraine with new weapons and even more intel, possibly with permissions to use US weapons in deeper strike missions. This coincides with Trump getting Ukraine to agree to a ceasefire position (that Trump still doesn’t understand Russia will never agree to).
This will go on for 4-6 weeks, then Trump will realise “math is hard, yo” and properly give up on an attempt, blaming Russia, Ukraine and/or the EU.
Then by end of 2025 the recent Trump induced EU panic that caused Europe to react will have created a rapid expansion of European capability and will. Then the US will exit and the war will go on for another couple of years.
You make some good points, but I don't draw the same conclusion. You're ascribing agency and competence to Trump, which we have no evidence for. This is just him jerking Zelenskyy around again.
I’m ascribing agency and competency to the military planners and to Rubio. Trump wouldn’t know which end of a lollipop to lick.
lmao