this post was submitted on 15 Mar 2025
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Poland, IBRiS poll (reputable):
Presidential election
+/- vs. 17-24 January 2025
Fieldwork: 4-5 March 2025
Sample size: 1,000
I can tell you that the Anti-EU candidates are Nawrocki and Mentzen, both of which are Right wing,
I would say that Mentzen is furthest right of the five, and is more popular with younger voters,
whereas the older part of the population with conservative worldview is more willing to vote for Nawrocki
Trzaskowski and Hołownia are Centrist and definetely more pro-EU than the ones listed above,
whereas Biejat here is the most left-winged candidate of the five that SubOP provided
Please stop calling Trzaskowski and Hołownia centre. Hołownia was an altar boy and ran Catholic TV programs. His conciliatory tone serves to preserve status quo which in Western European terms would be classified as something beyond far right. Ask Trzaskowski if he’s for marriage equality, something adopted by conservatives in Western Europe years ago and you’ll be surprised he doesn’t support right to adoption. Both are allied with PSL who conveniently blocks any progressive reform and are mostly concerned with passing real estate laws that benefit property developers. Economic policies supported by both are as neoliberal as they get which can only lead to Mentzen winning later on anyway.
Both Nawrocki and Trzaskowski are adapting to Mentzen by copying him. Hołownia already copied him in last elections. Biejat represents neoliberal post-communists whose economic program is not that different from Konfederacja in practice but it’s dressed in a rainbow suit.
The left candidate (can be labelled as actual socdem) polls at 1-2% but he’s a big city kind so regular folks outside of Warsaw will never trust him. He also made sure his internal competition is barred from party elections last year but the party would split in half again if that competition won so it’s just impossible to do leftist politics here.
Please send help.
Didn't want to include too much information in ine comment, but yeah.. you're right