this post was submitted on 19 Mar 2025
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I don't know why the Brexiteers are pumping this narrative again.
No, I don't for one minute believe that Macron would jeopardize European security just for fishing rights. There is no way that Poland, Germany and the Netherlands would accept that.
I do believe that the politicians are working on a slightly grander deal that will restore trade between the UK and EU. Such a deal could be defended on both sides against critics as "a necessary compromise to secure Europe".
And Labour will benefit from the economic growth, which they hope will let them keep a majority next elections.
I do not think that there will be a trade pact between UK and EU if the UK will not accept the requirements of the EU. The EU is stronger and has all cards compared to the UK. The anti EU country Switzerland had to accept the EU requirements for Schengen. Switzerland did not comply to some the requirements and the EU did not back up. The result is, e.g., that you cannot buy swiss stocks in European stock exchanges.
I translated it via DeepL
I hope so. Time will tell.