cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/26711871
this post was submitted on 04 Mar 2025
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I'm going to take this an opportunity to not only remind everybody about the "critical" part of "critical support", which should be limited to Russia's anti-imperialist actions, but also as a warning.
If the US with Trump manages to somehow align with Russia, that country could play a significant role in a new reorganized imperialist camp. There's no ideological barriers for this inside of Russia itself, only pragmatic ones such as how that might impact its relationship with China (unlikely since China is hands off outside its territory) or whether a future Democrat might ruin that alliance. Other than that, we could very possibly see a future soon where Russia becomes an US imperial ally against the imperial periphery. If NATO-Russia relations ever normalise, all critical support for them will need to be re-evaluated.
This will also be a moment to test whether theories of imperialism can apply to China depending on their complicity with any such alliance.
Thank you.
The great fear we should all have is Trump somehow manages a rapprochement with Russia, a team-up in as you say a new imperialist order, bringing Russia into the club while shoving Europe out to arm's length. Putin may not wish to allow this but he's old and if he doesn't die in the coming years anyways he could be pushed aside.
Should that happen and a few more things along with it that see to China's encirclement and isolation, it is one of those big things that could lead to the defeat of socialism and locking in of barbarism in a post-climate-change world.
And one of the reasons I am not willing to say the US is cooked or fucked just yet. This is an ace they could yet pull out and the Russian bourgeoisie might let them have it for a mere equal partnership and dividing or profits.
Securing Russia's cooperation would be enough to enable totally isolating China from the world economy and turning the screws on them. They'd have the island chains, first and second to contain them via sea. They'd have hostile India to the west, instability carefully engineered for decades in west Asia/middle east to disrupt the belt and road with a big assist from their colonial outpost "isn'treal" which despite all our hopes is riding pretty high on success lately with Iran meaningfully weakened, more weak in regional power, friends, influence than they have been in decades. If they lock down Russia as well China has no real routes to ship and receive goods to and from Africa, to and from Europe, etc.
IF the capitalists have them in that position they can fuck their proletariat and their consumer economies by hard decoupling because it won't matter, because they'll just exploit their workers at home harder, they'll 'friendshore' to India and some back to the US and perhaps a more desperate and weakened EU that's gutted all its social welfare. Things won't be as good, quality will be down, there will be various problems, increased costs but a lot of this can be passed onto consumers and there may yet be no serious falling rate of profit consequences worse than those they were already bearing.
China has a very dangerous path ahead. I really hope Russia doesn't join with the west. I hope honestly at this point that deranged anti-Russia democrats get back into power in 4 years and ruin any and all progress but given how the bourgeoisie are lining up behind Trump and this shift I have my doubts that they're not all in on this.
This is however absurd. China is not imperialist, they will not willingly be imperialist. They are trying their hardest to free the world of imperialism and they will not be invited to any speculative US-Russia imperialism club or offered a seat there as there are no extra profits to be shared by the western capitalists who are desperate at this point because of the falling rates of profit and collapsing neo-colonialism.
Holy Christ, comrade! It reminds of when Frederick Barbarossa fell from his horse, drowned, and that changed the course of the Third Crusade, or so I've heard. Not saying that was a bad thing; I'm saying random events can change World History.
My point is, should the CIA murder Putin or he simply gets a stroke (or multiple) like Lenin, and gets replaced by some pro-US puppet, world future could change from beautiful communism to a century of barbarism.
Not that I like Putin (ultra conservative capitalist who persecutes the Russian Left), but the World could be severely fucked if this bastard falls off a bike, hits his head on the curb and dies.
Or maybe thats Great Man Theory. I am weak on dialectical materialism. I am a newbie on communism and have much to study.