this post was submitted on 13 Jun 2025
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The IAEA released a statement that Iran wasn't holding to their non-proliferation agreements. Acknowledging that Iran is in the process of making nukes depite what they claim.
UKMTO was warning mariners of heightened tensions on June 11th
About the same time the US was evacuating non essential people from Bahrain, Kuwait and similar places
The people in the know were aware that Israel was getting a liiiiiitle more hands on with Iran's nuclear program. Nobody seems willing to get involved to support or stop it.
That would give any third party a good cop bad cop negotiation position. Have Iran make a deal with them or let Israel continue to have some quality 1v1 time
Israel seems to have a history of "come up with plausible sounding excuse then go too far". So my money is on this getting very bad very fast.
Yeah.....yeah. It's heartbreaking how many people are going to get caught in the middle