this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] daofaorao@hexbear.net 66 points 1 day ago (16 children)

can't wait for the us to launch a symbolic attack in response to iran's symbolic attack, which iran will afterwards retaliate with another symbolic attack.. as tel aviv gets bombed in the mean time

[–] companero@hexbear.net 27 points 1 day ago (3 children)

It sounds like Qatar will directly respond, with "support" from Saudi Arabia. It's such a farce, but whatever.

https://xcancel.com/ME_Observer_/status/1937214053589434743#m

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 31 points 1 day ago (1 children)

The Qatari response will be a strongly worded "How Dare You, Sir!!!" segment on Al Jazeera targeted at an effigy of Khamenei.

[–] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 19 points 1 day ago

"How Dare You, Sir!!!"

Democratic leaders are seriously thinking of a lawsuit involving copyright infringement

[–] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 21 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Fuck sake. If that materialises Israel has its dream scenario of the gulf states attacking Iran, which no matter Iran's response is going to make the Americans way more confident than before.

[–] la_tasalana_intissari_mata@hexbear.net 28 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Doesn't matter how strong the Gulf armies are, you blow up their fields they stop existing, Iran can function without its oil gulfies can't

[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 24 points 1 day ago (1 children)

(they aren't strong)

gulf armies are famously pathetic. they got their asses wipes by ansarallah so hard that ansarallah was stronger after fighting them than before because they captured all their equipment

[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 8 points 1 day ago

Ansarallah farming Gulf armies for loot and xp like an RPG.

[–] supafuzz@hexbear.net 22 points 1 day ago

sure would be a shame if those oil-fueled slave economies got wiped off the face of the earth

[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 18 points 1 day ago

this is actually good news for us. It means gulf targets are back on the table, and they are softest most vulnerable targets on Earth. Opens up a lot more options for Iran to punish the west.

It's not like gulf states have any military worth discussing. They rent out the USA to handle their problems for them, or hire shitty african mercenaries that can't do jack shit except lose to ansarallah for a decade.

[–] LoveWitch@hexbear.net 17 points 1 day ago

Didn’t someone in Israeli military / government circles declare Qatar the next enemy after Iran?

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