this post was submitted on 20 Jun 2026
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It turns out yesterday’s mass strikes on Moscow which were meant to coincide with the Euro Council meeting were pure Hollywood spectacle: the drones themselves were stuffed full of kerosene mixtures in the way Hollywood stages car explosions to look more “dramatic” by producing thick plumes of oily smoke.

In the video below, a shot-down drone can be seen jettisoning its special FX package.

It now makes perfect sense how Ukraine was able to fabricate such an eye-catching mise-en-scene, as each downed drone managed to pockmark the horizon with its own PR-ready plume:

The actual damage to the refinery itself turned out to be disappointing, as only a few oil storage tanks were actually destroyed.

In fact, much of Ukraine’s recent narratives have been rapidly falling apart. The Crimean “isolation” turned out to be a total bust, as even top Ukrainian accounts have outlined the steps Russia swiftly took to reverse any issues Ukrainian drone attacks have managed to temporarily cause.

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[–] justaman123@lemmy.world -3 points 13 hours ago (2 children)

Yeah, Simplicius is a pro Russian account. Of course they are going to say this. It's pretty clear that Ukraine is starting to win this war

[–] ChristchurchAsshole@lemmy.ml 2 points 8 hours ago (1 children)

If the war ended tomorrow, Ukraine would lose 20% of its territory. That's not a victory, that's a defeat.

[–] justaman123@lemmy.world 2 points 1 hour ago (1 children)

Starting to, as in the tide is turning.

[–] QinShiHuangsShlong@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 hour ago

Love to see some sources/research that has led you to this conclusion. From everything I've seen the strikes on refineries and Russia in general have had little real effect as Russian energy exports appear to be at a record high. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-16/russia-s-oil-exports-near-record-pace-as-ukraine-s-drones-target-its-refineries

The biggest effect I've seen is that it is pushing the Russian populace away from the moderate factions under Putin and more towards the more hard-line and extremist factions like those in line with Karaganov who wish to "reestablish nuclear deterrence ".

And honestly even besides all this as far as I can tell with the amount of citizens kidnapped and fed to the meat grinder by the Ukrainian government as far as I can see the literal best case scenario they can hope for is some sort of Pyrrhic victory where status quo is returned but with Ukraine effectively in ruins and with a major demographic crisis.

[–] m532@lemmy.ml -2 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

Have you seen the video of the smoke drone? That's clear evidence. First the drone produces smoke, then it falls down, and the end frame looks like there was an impact, but all the smoke came from the drone.

[–] TanteRegenbogen@feddit.org 3 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago)

Do you realize how big the payload needs to be to produce such large plumes of black smoke? This blog post is pure cope. Also there are a number of pro-Trump posts on that substack account.