this post was submitted on 19 Oct 2025
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dart board;; science bs
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It's a bit disingenous. We're already past the Paris 1.5°C goal. 2024 was 1.5. The lag time between emissions and warming is 20 years so even if we automagically hit real zero emissions, we're still warming for the next two decades.
Remember why 1.5°C was selected as a target. It was because exceeding it incurs the risks of tipping points, where human emissions get dwarfed by natural cycles, and human activity can no longer stop the process. E.g. Humans burn fossil fuels beyond 1.5°C, the resulting forest fires and loss of sea ice, glaciers and snow cover then take us to 2.5, which then releases clathrates whick takes us to ... 6C'ish.
If there are any historians left in the future, they are going to be really unkind to the people who had it all, and ruined it for all future generations.