this post was submitted on 31 Mar 2026
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I mean you are talking about fertilizer availability drying up. How quickly do you think that will happen? It’s not going to stop overnight or possibly even in a season. Local stock piles, other production facilities in the world, etc. the whole world doesn’t stop due to this specifically right now. The impact this has doesn’t destroy the entire food growing ecosystem, I think you maybe making it sound beyond the end of the world. It’s not great I agree, especially for regions that serves but is it world famine causing? Most likely not. Countries can also import food stuffs from neighbors or other areas. This can be done in much shorter order than growing seasons. I mean shit, hydroponic farming is becoming rapidly increasing useful tool that can supplant a lot of outdoor farming. And there are fertilizer less options for hydroponics.
There’s definitely options here. Especially when combining capacity using numerous means for total aggregate output.
And when there is a massive global heat wave this summer, as seems likely with an unusually large el nino, and there are crop failures the world over, after they have used a lot of their stockpiles, what happens then? It seems unlikely that the global oil economy will return to a stable rate any time soon.
Every fertilizer plant in Bangladesh is closed. Many in India are. I'm sure you can find further examples, or will in the next week. I agree that there are ways to mitigate this, but there are going to be famines in entire regions.