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Israel's endgame? No sign of post-war plan for Gaza
(www.reuters.com)
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this post was submitted on 19 Oct 2023
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FTA:
"Israel has called up a record 360,000 reservists"
Gaza has 365 square kilometers. 141 square miles.
https://www.britannica.com/summary/Gaza-Strip
That seems like an awful lot of soldiers to square meters.
You do realize that this is likely to become a 3 front war. Lebanon in the north. And Bibi has to cowtow to his settler base in the West Bank.
I could definitely see that, Israel has not been shy about invading Southern Lebanon in the past.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_occupation_of_Southern_Lebanon
And one of those fronts will effectively be with iran. You seriously don't want to fuck with the resources they have to throw into war.
I wonder whether Iran can actually spare an outright war. There is clearly a lot of anti-government energy flowing in Iran, and that won't have been stamped out by their crackdown on it.
I wonder whether most everyday Iranians would support a war with Israel.
Granted, it's not likely Iran gets directly involved - they'll just drive their Hezbollah prop.
I guess it depends on how much the "helping our fellow Muslims" stuff works. I know it would in Egypt at least.
Iran wouldn't need to radically shift their budget... the revolutionary guard gets buckets of oil money and maintains a constant high state of readiness.
Yeah, Russia's initial push against all of Ukraine was reportedly about 100-200k soldiers.
I think that was a little bit different in that a) everyone (the West included!) expected Ukraine to just roll over, and b) a lot of those troops weren't told they were actually going to war, they thought it was just a training mission... the poor bastards.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/04/russian-soldiers-ukraine-anger-duped-into-war
Israeli troops aren't under any illusion about what they're doing.