I’m sure Act had previously said the will refuse to work with NZF so coalition agreements may take some time

My suspicion is we're about to see that a lot of what Seymour says is bluster. He's also threatened to sit on the cross-benches and only support the government vote by vote. I doubt very much he'll stick to that, but we'll see I guess.

Either way, Act are potentially setting themselves up to fail. They've promised a lot, but probably won't be able to deliver on much of it (e.g. treaty referendum, much weaker climate policy). Minor coalition partners can find themselves badly punished by voters if they're not careful. Greens have managed to do a good job in recent years, but Act may not be able to do the same.