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this post was submitted on 30 Nov 2023
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IF one of their ICBMs still work. At this point I am convinced ever single one have been sold off on the black market and Russia only owns replicas filled with potatoes and wheat.
Unlikely. When the soviet union collapsed the man in charge of their nuclear program got a powerful role and put a lot of money into the nuclear program. While we cannot know how much went to corruption, odds are enough remained to keep many ICBMs working. Plus there are by treaty inspections of what they have - while the results of those are classified, people who have access to those reports are acting as if they think the ICBMs still work.
Until recently, there were inspections.
Here's a statement from June 2023 when the inspections stopped.
https://www.state.gov/russian-noncompliance-with-and-invalid-suspension-of-the-new-start-treaty/
Likely if any prior inspection showed only corn and potato in warhead, that would of been the mother of all global clapbacks the first time he threatened nukes.
So it is safe to have belief that at least one of their ICBMs is in working order. Even if that singular device is loaded onto a sub in the Arctic Circle.
Not really relevant, but where do we draw the line of first time he threatened nukes? As a Finn, feels like Russia has been making threats about their nukes almost monthly for the last thirty years.