Unfortunately, I think you're probably right. We keep seeing it over and over again. The judicial system continues to move slowly with as many delays and roadblocks as possible. When judgements are made, they are stayed during an appeal so they have no teeth. The farce of the Supreme Court will never let anything bad happen to their dear leader. They will delay, delay, delay until Trump is either reelected - in which case he'll pardon himself. Or until a new president is elected in 2028. If it's a Republican, they'll pardon Trump on day 1. If it's a Democrat, the Republicans in Congress will find some way to force a presidential pardon in order to keep the government funded or some other bullshit.

I think there's a 0% chance Trump ever sees a single day in prison. Even if none of what I said above happens, he'd get a slap on the wrist at worst. I would LOVE to be proven wrong. But I'm not holding my breath.