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Would Putin have invaded Ukraine if Trump was president?
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Yes.
The election of a single person in a bourgeois state rarely ever changes the long-established basis for imperialism and capitalism. Both Biden and Trump are imperialists, upholders of NATO, and so on. A similar policy towards Eastern Europe (particularly Ukraine) would exist under Trump, and there's no reason why inter-imperialist competition would not take place.
The only thing which Trump's presidency would guarantee would be a greater chance for world war three.