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If so, they are once again working against their own goals. I just googled and found this: https://www.kff.org/womens-health-policy/state-indicator/abortions-by-race/
Now that doesn't work too well on my phone, but all the states that aren't whitebread states, the abortion rate is higher among black people, which means an abortion ban is going to have black folks having less abortions than white folks. And that's before you factor in that white folks are more likely to be able to travel to obtain abortions.
I don't know whether you're right or not. It wouldn't surprise me, but I do feel like anyone smart enough to stack these dominos is smart enough to see where they'll fall, but this would be far from the first time the right has shocked me with their intellectual failures.
Are you saying that abortion has kept the black populating artificially low? And that black Americans could have represented a much larger portion of the electorate?
I posted the website so you can draw your own conclusions, but I don't believe abortion rates are high enough to draw that conclusion. I'm not even sure what the ratio is nationality. Many big states don't report by race. In any event the numbers are probably not big enough to suggest they would be a "much larger portion."