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🚨 This week's Opinium poll for @ObserverUK.

Labour makes gains and leads by 18 points.

Labour 44% (+3)

Conservatives 26% (-3)

Lib Dems 8% (-3)

SNP 2% (-1)

Green 7% (n/c)

Reform UK 10% (+3)

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[-] tkc@feddit.uk 4 points 1 year ago

Just wanttos say, I'm a big fan of this content in this format. Please keep it up!

[-] that_ginger_one@feddit.uk 2 points 1 year ago

Flavible:

Party Pred % Pred Seats
CON 26.0% 181
LAB 44.0% 402
LD 8.0% 28
REFUK 10.0% 0
Green 7.0% 1
SNP 2% 13
PC 0.5% 3

Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries'):

Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
CON 44.7% 375 26.0% 6 234 -228 147
LAB 33.0% 198 44.0% 262 0 +262 460
LIB 11.8% 8 8% 6 2 +4 12
Reform 2.1% 0 10% 0 0 +0 0
Green 2.8% 1 7% 0 0 +0 1
SNP 4.0% 48 2% 0 39 -39 9
PlaidC 0.5% 2 0.4% 1 1 +0 2
Other 1.1% 0 0.1% 0 0 +0 0
N.Ire - 18 - 0 0 +0 18

Scotland EC Break-Down

Con Lab Lib REF Green SNP
19% 34% 1% 6% 12% 28%

1% for the Libs in Scotland is 100% sampling error, they had just 1 person in 126 in Scotland go for the Lib Dems, so major dose of salt...

[-] rowdy_p@lemmy.world 1 points 1 year ago
[-] mr_strange@discuss.tchncs.de 1 points 1 year ago

Is Reform UK actually going to stand any candidates? Are they only advertising on social media, so I don't see it? They are literally invisible to me.

this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2023
16 points (94.4% liked)

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