AvogadroJones

joined 2 years ago
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Published 21 April, 2022, this not-yet-peer-reviewed study (pdf) applied the Ginzburg-Landau theory (Wikipedia) to model future conditions on this planet. Predictably, even the best case scenarios presented dismal outcomes.

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submitted 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) by AvogadroJones to c/doomers
 

Mixotrophic microbes are single-celled organisms such as plankton and paramecium that are able to switch between photosynthesis and predation for survival. Plankton is the base food source for all marine trophic levels. Normally, these microbes employ photosynthesis, absorbing carbon and providing 70% of atmospheric oxygen. But their switch to eating other single-celled critters releases carbon.

The mechanism for the switch is not well understood, but appears to be triggered by a rise in the temperature of their environment. Their switching could indicate a tipping point for sustainable marine life and accelerate global temperature increase.

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submitted 2 years ago by AvogadroJones to c/doomers
 

Although the linked study examined attitudes of those 16 to 25 years of age, there are many outside that range (myself included) who experience extreme pessimism about the future of human existence.

What experiences led you to your own conclusions about the fate of humanity? Do those conclusions affect your everyday decisions? How does your acceptance of imminent calamity shape your long term goals?

I'll start. I was but a child in the 1960's (Boomer II), born into a family deeply involved in charismatic Christianity. Fear surrounding the predicted events of a highly anticipated second coming of Christ (The Rapture, Tribulation, etc.) combined with the exaggerated cultural threat of communist aggression and the certainty of thermonuclear destruction created a perfect storm of personal despair and dread by the time I was 9 years old. As the fundamentalist Christian culture edged toward prosperity gospel and Seven Mountains, my mind turned towards nihilistic and scientific literature.

By my teenage years, I was solidly convinced that nothing short of a miracle could save humanity prior to my 30th birthday. Yet, here we are. The angst of my childhood absolutely shaped the trajectory of my life. Secondary education seemed a senseless enough endeavor to ignore. I considered reproduction to be a cruel endeavor. I embraced agnosticism, punk culture and anarchism.

The privileged existence of being white, privileged and cis male has served me well, and I can't say that I'm unhappy. I find succor in the growing probability that a natural death will spare me the majority of horrors to come. And I am sad and angry for what subsequent generations are about to experience.

What's your story?

[–] AvogadroJones 1 points 2 years ago

Often, a society's awareness of mission critical issues is shaped by the language used to describe such events. And things never go well when urgency and denial are given equal value in the public arena.

In 100 years, the earth will be completely different. I am sad for the young who will live to see it all go down.

[–] AvogadroJones 2 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Climate change-induced migration began long ago. Since 2008, around 20 million people annually relocate as a result of changing climactic conditions. About a quarter of those migrate to other countries.

 

Heat waves of this nature are becoming more frequent as our climate catastrophe continues.

 

The technology to do this exists, but it will never happen. Like any other organism, humans will use up all available finite resources until death is certain.

[–] AvogadroJones 3 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

I don't know why this is getting downvoted. It's clearly satire, folks. I especially like the part about wolves. Can we do that?

[–] AvogadroJones 1 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Temperatures up to 10C

[–] AvogadroJones 1 points 2 years ago

Yes, it seems that there is solid data that polar bear populations are increasing.

 

Experts seem divided on whether or not Russia's invasion of Ukraine already qualifies as a global war. There's no doubt that the conflict is having negative consequences on an international scale. There are those who claim that these consequences are grave enough to eventually end society as we have come to know it.

I think anyone can envision a scenario whereby V. Putin makes a decision that provokes other powers into direct armed conflict.

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Four Charts (www.cnn.com)
submitted 2 years ago by AvogadroJones to c/doomers
 

Most of the media is referring to these charts as "alarming". Has no one been alarmed by previous charts?

[–] AvogadroJones 2 points 2 years ago (3 children)

Yes, boats and submarines flood. And the conditions at both polar regions are changing more dramatically than anywhere else. There are lakes bubbling methane from melted permafrost in Siberia and Alaska. Norway is already too warm to have glaciers.

I agree that It is completely possible to transition to zero emissions in just a few years. The process would be painful, disruptive, and cost $50 trillion. There's a shot if it starts next week. It may be too late.

[–] AvogadroJones 1 points 2 years ago (5 children)

I don't think that flood-proof is a thing, but their heart is in the right place.

And it's true that with sufficient wherewithal, most problems could be fixed. The solutions are certainly non-trivial and will be unthinkably expensive.

[–] AvogadroJones 1 points 2 years ago

I don't think it's suppression from the scientific community. It seems like over-moderation of results in order to ensure future funding for further research.

[–] AvogadroJones 2 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (7 children)

I hope we manage to Noah’s ark some of the threatened species, or even modify them to survive better.

Yeah, that may be unsustainable. Norway's seed vault is already threatened by thawing permafrost...

[https://time.com/5177165/climate-change-threatens-norway-seed-vault/](from 2018)

 

(opinion)

More bad news... Every climate catastrophe indicator is far above what anyone even considered just a year ago. It appears that the rate of climate change is beginning to increase exponentially, further evidence that enough climate tipping points have been reached to render change unstoppable.

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Climate Activist Jailed In Vietnam (www.washingtonpost.com)
submitted 2 years ago by AvogadroJones to c/doomers
 

(opinion, pay-wall)

Vietnam's leading climate activist, Hoang Thi Minh Hong, has been arrested and jailed for "tax evasion". She, her husband, and 15 staffers of the Center of Hands-on Action and Networking for Growth and Environment (CHANGE) were detained on May 31. On June 1, she was formally charged and imprisoned while the others were released.

With this arrest, Ms Hoang joins 5 other climate activists in detention, all charged under vague laws governing corporate taxation.

Consequentially, Vietnam risks losing $15.5 billion of funding from EU and G7 countries to assist them in achieving net-zero carbon status by 2050.

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submitted 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) by AvogadroJones to c/doomers
 

[–] AvogadroJones 4 points 2 years ago

How delightfully and intellectually astute of you to play the age card. I am cowed to submission by your ancient prowess.

[–] AvogadroJones 2 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Also, regulating any individual's health needs are fraught with complexity and a waste of resources.

[–] AvogadroJones 1 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Interesting. I wonder if there are any economic models that recognize that infinite growth can not be achieved when resources are finite.

 

It is clear that Republicans and Democrats alike will never do enough to solve climate catastrophe. Can America's ambivalence be reversed through the legal system?

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submitted 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) by AvogadroJones to c/doomers
 

It's all fine and good for John Kerry to utter a fundamental truth about a major driver of climate catastrophe, but it is a useless proclamation without offering a solution.

Have enough tipping points been breached that there are no prescriptions to offer?

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