When you're young you experience the world, when you get older you keep the world working for the young to experience it, and when you're old you wish you'd made it work better so you could've really experienced it.
HexesofVexes
Erm...
I think there are errors on both parts here...
1.9/170 is about 1.1176%. 4 decimal places is still an unacceptable level of rounding here, but it'sa damn sight better than 0/1 decimal place. Both of you were off on this.
It is definitely right to split rape and sexual assault, they're very different crimes - combining them is double counting which is a poor faith tactic used to inflate numbers.
1.1176% per year DEFINITELY does not translate directly to that for a lifetime. To put it into context, if you have a 1% chance of being shot each day (assuming BINS) you have a [(0.99)^365]*100% (or 2.6%) of not being shot at all that year - note binomial is not appropriate for rape odds calculations but it's a nice example of how low odds per year DO NOT translate to low odds per lifetime.
Self report is absolute garbage - it's the worst form of stat gathering and often leads to socially advantageous answers being given. Using self-report stats as a keystone to an argument is dangerous at best.
The "known rapist" is a tricky one, as it depends how you define rape. Sex under the influence of alcohol you later regret - tricky to place in the at home (you knew them enough to go home with) vs stranger (did you really know them). While it's nice to give clear cut numbers, this isn't a clear cut scenario.
/Statsrant
Seems to me you both care about this topic - sounds to me like you should both go data hunting and explore the topic together. Two opposing perspectives makes a great paper, and you generally learn more!
My two cents - being alone with someone is always risky. Trying to assign which is riskier (men or women) is foolish, it creates the dynamic of "men vs women" rather than the desired "everyone vs rapists".
Snake with a hundred mage hands who is actually a detective called "dick-long"?
"Dead scientist #15" is more my speed
I'll pop a little observation in here, as I've generally had a woman for my manager for most of my professional career (doesn't bother me, they've all been good managers).
It's socially acceptable to make a joke about men (you know what men are like lol), it's a visit to HR if you make the same joke about women (you know what women are like lol). This isn't a false perception, or over exaggerated bit of right wing propaganda, it's just working life being a man.
I'll NEVER forget an inaugural lecture where a professor stated she'd always hire women over men for her research team, and people cheered. She'd have been stripped of her title as a man, possibly sacked.
To be quite frank, there are hundreds of little "adjustments" men live with today. I'm sorry to say that the iniquity men face today is real, and while older men can see how it balances past iniquities (or are indifferent) - younger men just see the iniquity levelled against them and rightly question it because their only crime is being a man.
It isn't just "a few" - it's the normality we've created. It's a sad situation, because in the pursuit of justice we've created injustice and the predators that shape the manosphere have monopolised it for their own selfish ends.
Tiny Truss Tower?
Years ago I argued that misandrist feminist rhetoric (e.g. all men are rapists) was going to wind up creating a misogynistic counter-culture.
These days, I watch it unfold and just feel very very sad as it will ruin lives.
Managed this as a millennial - had absolutely nothing to do with my parents helping pay half my deposit. Nope, absolutely nothing to do with that whatsoever.
Microtransactions - the answer always has been and always will be microtransactions.
Not so much in London, and usually you need to pay for the public ones.
So the traditional answer here is to ask them to point at the door the other guard will say is safe.
However, I'm curious, does anyone know of any other valid solutions?
All such laws fail to appreciate one key point - if little Timmy wants titties, little Timmy is going to move heaven and earth to get them.
Credit card for id? Sorry mum, the call of the boobies was too great.
Scanned photo id? Sorry dad, just borrowing your license - you understand.
Facial age estimation? Time to buy a grandpa facerig and voice morph with my pocket money!
On the upside, the next generation is going to be very very very tech literate, for necessity is the mother of invention. Sadly, they're also likely to be into some dark shit as only non-conforming sites are easily accessible.