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this post was submitted on 23 Apr 2024
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What's Puti gonna do? Invade another country?
Yeah, I'm confused how they think they can retaliate.
Cyber warfare is a definite possibility. Although it seems short sighted to waste 0 days on that.
Why would you draft legislation to do a cyber attack? Seems more like a military thing.
Cyberwarfare, political interference, nuclear weapons, sabotage of infrastructure, assassinations...
The question isn't really "can Russia", but "will Russia". Because Russia doing any of those is probably going to produce a response in turn.
They're already doing the first two, last three seem like they'd get way more escalation than they bargained for. They don't have intermediate escalation options that they haven't used already.
Not really a binary, though; they can dial things up or down.
Isn’t a much of Europe still running off of a lot of Russian gas? They could just turn that spigot off.
The EU has cut its imports of Russian gas down from nearly half of the total supply to about 15% since the war started, so that's not nearly the threat it once was
While it’s great the EU has made such a reduction, it’s still a meaningful threat, even if it’s not the serious one it once was. And I also realize that we’re moving into summer which also blunts it a bit more.
I’m just considering what Russia could be referring to, what their options are. I think it’s most likely that any retaliation would come in the form of several smaller actions rather than a single larger one in order to exact the “hurt”, so to speak.
Losing that income would hurt the Kremlin a lot.