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[-] RaincoatsGeorge@lemmy.zip 5 points 1 year ago

The problem for the right is that they sold their soul to maga to get the win last time (well they already sold their soul long ago, they just traded everything else they had). It seemed like a great idea to go in on the maga cult angle because it was super popular and was easily enough to tip the scales against Hillary who barely even tried to counter him. Even better was just how untouchable trump seemed. Whatever behavior would have ended anyone else’s political career only made him more popular amongst his base.

The problem is that when you make a cult you can’t just turn it off when it stops delivering for you. These people are hooked and will likely die maga devotees. So the gop has a big problem, they can’t win without trump because if they run someone else he will just run as an independent and they lose. If they stick with Trump outside of further election fraud I really don’t see him hooking the same number of undecided voters as he got last time. There are loads of people that vote republican but hate trump and they’ll either vote Biden or abstain. Obviously not all of them but he’s just not going to be able to pretend he’s not a crazy criminal asshole like last time.

It’s by no means assured and I’m a pessimist so knowing my luck he will find a way to win, but it’s a much different story than the last go around. They have quite the uphill battle and when your front runner is facing multiple felonies you are going to struggle.

this post was submitted on 21 Jul 2023
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