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Urging Biden to Step Aside, Sen. Peter Welch Warns 'Peril to Democrats Is Escalating'
(www.commondreams.org)
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this post was submitted on 11 Jul 2024
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Biden is the incumbent, and the incumbent is more likely to win. I don't believe they'll give us someone more progressive than Biden, so why would I want him to be replaced?
We are in a damned if you do damned if you don't situation. Three months ago I would have said Biden would most likely win by a very slim margin again. Now I would say there is a real chance for it to go the other way. However, replace him, and like you said that person is also very unlikely to win at this point.
Alright, why do you believe that? Whenever I ask, I get a response that boils down to vibes and bad polling data, and whenever I give my reasons, I get downvoted to hell by people who refuse to answer any questions. I think this is a psy-op, honestly.
Well, my opinion is that: 1. It is largely a popularity contest and Trump is still insanely popular with his crowd and Biden is not popular in general 2. The Maga crowd will certainly vote, so the Democrats would need to be united and show up to beat that. With any real doubt about Biden, I think a large enough to matter amount of Dems will either not vote or vote for other.