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this post was submitted on 14 Jun 2023
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Scenario #1: GOP contenders believe that Trump's legal troubles will be his undoing before the 2024 Republican convention. DeSantis will be sunk by similar legal troubles, or lack of electability outside of Florida. Despite current polling, the field will look very different by early 2024 and they want to position themselves now as the alternatives who aren't going to prison.
Scenario #2: Trump and/or DeSantis avoid their many scandals, somehow, and they're going to be looking for a vice president. It's unlikely that Trump will run with Pence again, so Nikki Haley, Francis Suarez, and the rest are looking to distinguish themselves as vote-getters so they will be seen as a good addition to a Trump or DeSantis ticket.
Either way, I don't know what the hell Pence thinks he's doing in this field.
Pence is a religious zealot, and I think he believes God is calling him to run, so he doesn't care what the polls or common sense seem to say. He believes that somehow God's plan will work out. We'll see how that goes for him...