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I mean, he COULD win. Right wing people like him and if you win the Republican nomination you're roughly 50/50 to be the president. Plus he can't do his old job until January 2025 and working anywhere but Fox just condemns him to the post-Fox life of Bill O'Reilly or Glenn Beck, hardly cultural forces anymore.
But I suspect there's a reason we haven't had opinion TV show hosts as president before, I'm just 100% sure he has said disqualifying things over his time in the spotlight.
If I was him I'd do the Mitt Romney, find a deep red state with a Senator opening and live there. Probably takes a couple years of schmoozing with the party leaders if you're not already a local hero like Romney was, but it's doable.