this post was submitted on 17 Jun 2023
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Oh, reddit's still going to be around for a long time, and I don't think reddit clones were and are any real threat to reddit (See Voat, or any of the crypto based reddit clones). However, Lemmy is different in that federation is a revolutionary change to the reddit format just as nested comments on reddit is a revolutionary change to traditional internet forums.
So, a likely scenario is that high effort content creators are going away first, leaving the average user who only notice the content getting worse and worse until they leave too, and the dreg will get more and more concentrated as more regular people leave, which lead to worse content, turning it into a death spiral.
Uh, Reddit hardly created the idea of nested comments. You can go back to usenet or Prodigy/Compuserve in the 90s and find nested conversations. Slashdot did it, Daily Kos did it, shit, even the old school VN Boards did it.
Unless I misunderstand your point?
I do think reddit was the one that popularized it though, maybe it would be more accurate to say "combination of nested comments and vote based instead of time based sorting"?
I mean, here's a Slashdot thread from 2005 (https://web.archive.org/web/20020923232012/http://slashdot.org/articles/02/09/10/0517248.shtml?tid=134) from archive.org showing not only voting, but nested comments.
Slashdot's "voting" was a little less direct and focused on using what it called "moderation" to keep content on the site relevant. I found the write-up, still pretty much unchanged, here.
Here's a 2004 thread article from kos with straight up reddit-like voting, not only showing the cumulative score but the # of votes, too.
Reddit was founded in 2005.
One could make the argument that Reddit successfully leveraged it to attract the traffic away from Fark and Digg at the time. They weren't just a place to get away from Diggs changes, they were a better place.
Threaded forums go back to the late 90's.
Yep, it's going to be the new Facebook soon