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I don't think isntreal can handle getting a rocket barrage every day. The entire settler project hinges on the myth of invincibility. The zionist entity is very important to the amerikan entity.

Being easy to intercept is a message within the message

Ukraine was doing everything they could to become a western client state and get into every western alliance and militray program they could. It was and is on its knees constantly begging for air defenses and alliences and a billion US troops on its ground. It had a hundreds of soviet Air defense systems already and it was training and intergrating with western systems for a decade. What has Iran actualy done regarding its relations and approachment with China.

There have been a bunch of comments showing how it was dragging its feet in closer military and economic ties with China, due to the reformists looking with one eye west yes but also because they didnt want to be under Russian or Chinese influence and a junior partner to such a relation. Its a big boy country that made its own choices and other powers will act also based on Iranian willingness, actions and what it asks for, what it accepts and has to offer. I made a longer comment here https://hexbear.net/comment/6248893 .

Beyond that and as far as military supplies go, its a question of what systems and how and if they can even be used. China running in to now give modern air defenses and aircrafts is unrealistic for multiple reasons. They would be useless to iranians without extensive months long training and a complicated intergrated ecosystem they operate under. Also with the degree of mossad penetration and Israel depth of opperations and the US joining in the chances these would fall into their hands are pretty high and at this stage of the game its something China wouldnt want. Giving Iran long range rockets and missiles (also launchers cause other wise its useless) isnt impossible but China's rocket force is one of its greatest focuses given their needs and Taiwan and US placement in the pacific. Giving them in any large scale to Iran would have an impact in their magazine. Also they dont wanna speed up a Taiwan crisis by making sure US goes unhinged in the equipment and military stuff they send to Taiwan, where the US is still afraid to do any big moves. Drones, drone parts, electronics and material to build weapons are already sourced from China by iran in a large degree and we have no idea if they are picking up and it wouldnt be surprising if they are. Normal Ground war millitary stuff Iran doesnt even need as of now and if they do we will see if and what they source from China.

Yeah there seems a good chance they just keep up this air war forever. Start an insurgency (reports of weapons flowing over their borders already), do the Syria thing but faster and harder with ethnic minorities, ISIS recruits from abroad, Ukrainian SBU, etc and start going around tearing apart the country. The zionists using their air power to support the proxy forces and take out and hamper Iranian counter-attacks and eventually maybe it takes a year, maybe it takes 5, maybe 8 but Iran is in disarray and no longer capable of projecting power, being relevant to BRICS+ or the belt and road (no control of its own infrastructure, they'll definitely blow up that Chinese rail link) and at that point it's total control of the region by the US and total encirclement of China and another dagger at Russia's belly. Likely they slate pushing their own extremists through the region up through the Iran/Caspian sea region (Azerbaijan is a NATO/zionist puppet) to start doing terrorism and destabilizing Russia sometime in the 2030s, they then kick off war with China, sanctions, embargo, decoupling all in one as they occupy Russia with a distraction internally giving them primacy to make their move against China alone and buying them a few months of time in which to operate. They may kick off the Russia thing later than that though but it too is slated for a pressure campaign and break-up so that the US may rule the world. PNAC is so obviously telegraphed in many ways.

Yet China seems to believe the trap is being drawn into conflict with the west now before they've set up all the pieces. I hope they see a lot more than I do because from where I sit it does seem like they are humming a song while the west builds its forces and sets up the chessboard in a perfect condition for their victory or at least maximum pain for China to win.

The Patriots managed to intercept the SCUDs this time, so that's a change of pace. Only took what, 20+ years to figure out (PAC 3 MSE entered service in 2014).

It makes little sense to do a probing attack on a base that they just emptied out and rolled the red carpet out for you to bomb. If they're deliberately allowing you to attack it, they are not going to reveal much about their defenses, they are going to just let the missile hit, or use it as an opportunity for target practice. It does not reflect routine conditions. Also, if you aren't planning a much bigger move in the near future, the intel gathered will be stale by the time it is needed. Resources get moved around, some get replenished while others become scarce, weapon systems get moved around, readiness and rules of engagement change.