this post was submitted on 27 Jun 2025
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[–] TrippyFocus@lemmy.ml 56 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (7 children)

Feel like this is way more important than the spend.

U.S. depletes 15-20% of THAAD defending Israel from Iran.

Some back of the napkin math based on the article:

$800M at ~$15M each is ~53 interceptors. If that’s 15% of the global stockpile that means the total was around 353 and they’re down to about 300 and the article mentions Lockheed Martin can only produce 50-60/year.

It took Iran only a week to use up a years worth of interceptors. Not to mention the cost difference between the interceptors and the missiles fired at it.

This is not going to be an effective defense against any sort of prolonged engagement with a country like China or Russia.

[–] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 41 points 3 days ago (2 children)

Yeah, the math does not work here at all. The US very clearly cannot sustain any sort of war of attrition with an industrially advanced adversary at this point.

[–] Grapho@lemmy.ml 11 points 3 days ago (1 children)

My revolutionary optimism half thinks this is great news because lol, lmao.

The doomer half thinks this is awful news because the gringos might go straight to the nuclear option when they escalate against China and they get dogwalked for a couple weeks.

[–] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 6 points 3 days ago

That's my biggest worry as well, we already see just how unhinged the US is. It's very possible that these psychos will start a nuclear holocaust.

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