this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] PorkrollPosadist@hexbear.net 21 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

While I think the third-worldists / ultras / anti-electoralists are generally right about the prospect of electoral work within the Great Satan, I feel like the pushback against Mamdani (specifically thinking of a couple well known Twitter users here) is an over-correction, and their criticisms come across as lazy and reflexive to me.

First is the criticism of electoral work being a misdirection of resources. It is worth noting that New York is just one city within the Great Satan. Circumstances are different than e.g. the Bernie campaigns of 2016 and 2020. We don't have "the left" dropping everything from sea to shining sea to get this man in office. It is a local struggle, and placed in the context of a city which has seen a militarized police force repeatedly deployed to crush and evict several anti-genocide encampments, it has the potential to change the way these other non-electoral tactics unfold moving forward, and a lot of people involved in the campaign are likely involved in these other tactics. It isn't a this-or-that situation at all.

Then there is the criticism of Democratic Party entryism. We all know the Democratic Party is a dead end institution, but also it is an extremely loosely defined institution. There is a big difference between building independent campaign infrastructure which is capable (among other things) of capturing the Democratic Party ballot line in a municipal election vs. planning to take control (or attempting to reform) institutions like the DNC, county and state level party organizations, the constellation of think tanks, PACs, and corporate media which define the party more broadly. The electoral strategy is a consequence of the shit-ass voting system we've got. I wouldn't call all cases of contesting a Democratic primary election entryism. It really depends on what your goals are. Do you think the party will embrace you if you win? Do you think you can influence them? Or are you doing it just to get on the ballot while eliminating some centrist goblin and forcing people to choose between social welfare and fascism.

I have several hopes for this campaign. I hope it activates people who have been unactivated. If it manages to do this, I wouldn't consider it a misdirection of resources. I would consider it more along the lines of "meeting the people where they're at." And from there people have the potential to grow.

I don't understand how people can write this off simply as entryism. The idea of entryism being bad is that the party cannot be reformed so it is a waste. Well, LOOK at the reaction of all the elite party and media figures to this news. They are destroying themselves. Is that a waste? If an act of "entryism" does more to undermine and destroy an institution than other tactics, can we really be mad about it?

No, this won't stop the genocide, or bring down the empire, but I also don't see any harm coming from this, at this stage at least. For the moment, it is making all the right people go apeshit.

[–] Dessa@hexbear.net 7 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

No doubt a lot of people here found their way to socialism after thr Bernie campaigns, even if they don't like him anymore. Mamdani could easily be that

[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 4 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

A lot of people joined the DSA after Bernie. And now they’re electing more democrats. Doesn’t sound like a pipeline to underground communist organizing

[–] Dessa@hexbear.net 2 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

There is no pipeline for underground communist organizing

[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 1 points 4 hours ago

Precisely, these electoral campaigns are just making people consume different media

[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 13 points 2 days ago

For what it's worth, I'm with you, but I'm not american or a new yorker so it isn't really my fight. I hope he wins and that he's as cool as he seems.