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[-] harpuajim@lemmy.ml 56 points 10 months ago

Unless the strain is killing a sizable amount of people getting it it'll be hard to get people to wear masks en masse again.

[-] cyclohexane@lemmy.ml 64 points 10 months ago

Even if it kills (which it likely will), our track record shows that didn't care enough about that, and in a decreasing manner. So it'll only be worse.

[-] Chriskmee@lemm.ee 9 points 10 months ago

Pretty sure every virus has killed people, from the cold, to flu, and of course covid. It feels like now the death rate for the latest variants of covid are pretty comparable to the flu, the virus has lost a lot of its killing power over time.

[-] UlyssesT@hexbear.net 13 points 10 months ago

Pretty sure every virus has killed people, from the cold, to flu, and of course covid.

False equivalency intensifies

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[-] queermunist@lemmy.ml 8 points 10 months ago

Death rates aren't a feeling. I want some hard numbers.

I feel like we just don't care if we live or die anymore.

[-] AntiOutsideAktion@hexbear.net 16 points 10 months ago

Fun fact: the CDC readjusted what the 'normal' rate of deaths is to include the years of the pandemic so now it's harder than ever to find hard numbers because "excess deaths" was one of the last ways to get any information at all!

[-] interdimensionalmeme@lemmy.ml 1 points 10 months ago

Plus a world wide fast aging population would increase the death background number even if nothing else happens.

Anything that doesn't make an observable, statistically significant difference, has no cause to further impose restriction on how people live their lives

[-] AntiOutsideAktion@hexbear.net 6 points 10 months ago

Plus a world wide fast aging population would increase the death background number even if nothing else happens.

Sharp edges don't happen from demographic trends. This is pure rationalization.

Further than what?? What restrictions??

And what are you implying? Covid has no observable affect on public health? Tell that to the millions of people still getting disabled every year.

[-] Chriskmee@lemm.ee 3 points 10 months ago

I know I've read reports about the latest variants being much less deadly. I did see one study recently which for patients presenting to hospital covid was a few percentage points more likely to result in death compared to hospitalized flu patients. There were a lot more covid patients though.

Found it:

death rates among people hospitalized for COVID-19 were 17% to 21% in 2020 vs 6% in this study, while death rates for those hospitalized for influenza were 3.8% in 2020 vs 3.7% in this study

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2803749

So there is some data backing up the feelings I've gotten from everything I've been hearing and seeing.

[-] queermunist@lemmy.ml 6 points 10 months ago

So that's almost twice as bad as the flu.

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[-] glingorfel@hexbear.net 5 points 10 months ago

I'm not sure how severe an effect this would have on the numbers, but the death rate would non-negligibly go down after millions of the most vulnerable people died in the first wave. As well, the newer variants get more contagious and bypass immune responses more easily, and we're taking way fewer precautions as a society. so 6% is a lower percent but still an incredibly high number

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[-] SkepticElliptic@beehaw.org 5 points 10 months ago

That's the same shit that businesses were pushing last time because they didn't want to close for a few months, ended up making everything worse.

[-] Piers@beehaw.org 1 points 10 months ago

Yup. More effective action faster would have had a higher same-day-you-make-the-decision cost but would have been tremendously less harmful economically to all the entities blocking it for fear of the economic impact to them. They were digging a mass grave and then leaping into it.

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[-] ShimmeringKoi@hexbear.net 2 points 10 months ago

It's important to note that every state I'm aware of has long ended their testing and reporting, literally doing the Trump thing. So we actually have no idea what the numbers are.

[-] Chriskmee@lemm.ee 1 points 10 months ago

The numbers I've seen are from hospitalized patients, which should still be tracked, and tracked in a similar way to the flu. It doesn't give us the full story for sure, but it gives us something to compare.

[-] Mbourgon@lemmy.world 1 points 10 months ago

I’ve you’ve been vaxxed, or had a previous infection, or get some paxlovid… yes. If not, no, not really any better. It hasn’t gotten weaker.

[-] Chriskmee@lemm.ee 3 points 10 months ago

Do you have any studies or research to suggest covid hasn't gotten weaker?

[-] Mbourgon@lemmy.world 7 points 10 months ago

Unfortunately, the myth that virii become weaker over time is a long standing misconception, and the anti-vax people pushed it because it fit their narrative.

These articles discuss it with immunologists & doctors & geneticists, though, so it seems that it’s a known truth and so, like gravity, isn’t extensively studied. Instead, they’re focusing on actual prevention via better vaccines and personal behavior/responsibility.

Hope this helps!

Https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2022/01/14/1072504127/fact-check-the-theory-that-sars-cov-2-is-becoming-milder

https://abc7ny.com/covid-update-pandemic-do-viruses-get-weaker-as-they-evolve-omicron-variant/11463220/

https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-not-mutating-to-be-weaker-over-time-genetics-2020-7

https://en.as.com/en/2022/02/07/latest_news/1644263846_400285.html (note that this site is a Spanish-language sports site, but it was nice to find this there)

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[-] c0mbatbag3l@lemmy.world 1 points 10 months ago

Viruses tend to mutate to be more contagious and less lethal, it's just how natural selection/evolution works. The strains most likely to survive will be the ones that don't kill their hosts before they can do so.

[-] Mbourgon@lemmy.world 2 points 10 months ago

That’s false. Show me your research.

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[-] Piers@beehaw.org 1 points 10 months ago

The issue is that it happens out of sight out of mind so it's just an abstract statistic that it's easy to ignore or pretend away. If Covid-19 killed you by making your head spontaneously fall off we'd have eliminated it or reduced it to a few tiny isolated pockets simply by the change in the public's attitude to it. But because it kills you "quietly" out of sight in a hospital bed or at home, people were able to just convince themselves everything is basically normal.

[-] reverendsteveii@beehaw.org 10 points 10 months ago

get people to wear masks en masse again

The time when people wore masks en masse must be something that I'm too American and lung-scarred to remember

[-] Piers@beehaw.org 1 points 10 months ago

I’m too American and lung-scarred to remember

Due to a history of smoking and multiple bouts of pneumonia I was already fairly sure that my "dying of old age" (which noone truly does) would consist of drowning on fluids from my own damaged lungs one day. Then the drowning on fluids from your own damaged lungs plague came and people decided they'd rather other people die by drowning on fluids from their own damaged lungs than follow simple enhanced hygiene practices for a bit.

Mostly I try to just block that out but it's come back into sharp focus today...

[-] reverendsteveii@beehaw.org 3 points 10 months ago

If you put about 15 minutes between an action and it's consequences there's a strong subset of our population that will just completely lose the connection between the two. That, to me, was the primary problem. Well, that and the fact that it's impossible to measure how many times you didn't get COVID due to masking or vaxxing

this post was submitted on 17 Aug 2023
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