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Complete Defeat: Ukraine’s 54th and 81st Brigades Repel Large-Scale Russian Assault
(militarnyi.com)
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This is the panning put of the war IMO. From here it will only get worse for the russians.
Or so I hope, Slava Ukraine!
This is about the time where all the Cold War reserves run out. From now on, its just what Russia can build new, and thanks to years of sanctions, that's not much.
They seem to be getting almost any Western components just fine, although necessarily through middlemen, and therefore at higher prices.
Not for aviation and sightings or barrels, but some other stuff slips through of course.