this post was submitted on 18 May 2026
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When things are new it is often quick for a bit. Then it slows down. My prediction (which has been wrong before!) is that AI has reached the peak of the change.
However you should ALWAYS be ready and willing to change your opinion on anything when new evidence comes in.
I'm open to new info, but so much of the AI push has mimicked the crypto and NFT hype that it's been really hard to distinguish between reality and grift.
I tried to do my due diligence on research, but apparently doing so a ~ 13 months ago is already out of date. I'm honestly not interested or motivated enough to re-evaluate the state of AI every 6 months.
My current takeaway is that this is like the cloud computing hype. In that it's got a real, valid use case, but that's being overshadowed by it being shoe horned into literally everything and dumb sales people claiming it will do things that it will in fact never actually do.
What it can actually do won't be able to be determined by most of us until after the dumb hype wave dies down and the valid business cases become boring everyday tasks and everyone forgets that at one point CEOs were literally believing that they'd have a movie level general AI assistant like Cortana.
Fortunately, you don't have to evaluate everything yourself. There are other people to do things to when they talk. I reevalued AI and started using it because back in December someone I trusted said hey you should try it it works great. I had previously tried it a year ago and it didn't work but when someone I trusted said try it again I tried the new models and suddenly they were working and so now I say AI is good. Don't confuse good with perfect. There are certainly a lot of things AI does poorly. However, it is very helpful in doing complex tasks that I could do, but would just be too tedious.