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this post was submitted on 13 Jun 2026
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Iran will keep it closed until after the elections. They understand exactly how poisonous this is to Trump, and how it will affect MAGA in the election. Keeping the Strait closed hurts Trump and MAGA more than all the missiles in their arsenal, and they have to do almost nothing to maintain it for as long as they feel like it.
If Trump tries to throw a few missiles, they'll just retaliate by bombing our shitty friends (but not Saudi Arabia, never the Saudis), who will then get madder at US.
Why doesn't Iran attack KSA, apart from a few US bases? I thought they were the main rival in the region, and given the extent that the US and Israel have already been attacking them I don't see much risk of escalation
They don't need to. They're winning, and widening the conflict now can only hurt them. All Iran has to do is sit tight, lob a missile at the strait every now and then, and wait for the US to fold. They've found the perfect strategy for this situation and opponent.
You guessed right my friend. If I was the supreme leader, I’d definitely try and hit at Trump’s political influence. A lame duck president would probably ensure a more lasting peace.