this post was submitted on 22 Jun 2026
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I'm not saying the following to argue, but to add caveats and challenge assumptions.
I see some other people treating compulsory voting as an anchor, but we're seeing a prolonged shift away from the dominance of Coalition and Labor. We're talking about a reactionary politician promoted by plenty of mainstream mass media outlets with astronomical funding - many casual apathetic forced-voters will be exposed to more of her populist policies and less of her terrible perspectives and Gina-service than we see. Especially if everyday people like us don't talk to people about it.
Many immigrants will vote for One Nation. It sounds unintuitive, but there are plenty who openly support Hanson. They've already immigrated, and might trivialise the racist attitudes of the party in support of other gripes, especially if they feel association with Australia and see themselves accepted as "one of the good ones". One Nation is a racist party, but as a whole, it's selectively racist: they will back candidates from most non-Arab ethnicities and have elected immigrants [admittedly not the best example].
Yes, but that doesn't outweigh the larger, solidly right-leaning older demographic. Unfortunately Wikipedia haven't updated their table since 2016 and I cbf summing the numbers on the ABS population pyramid, so I'm happy to be contradicted.
Also consider that (judging by the first line of the ABS 2024 age/region summary plus my own assumption) younger populations are likely to be concentrated in cities, reducing the influence of a young vote on suburban and rural electoral seats.
And that's been a useful tactic in dissuading ON prospectives, according to GetUp!, which to me also implies that plenty of people don't recognise the similarity of Trump's USA and Pauline's ON.
So, my perspective is, we should be optimistic and confident, but we must not be complacent and passive. These points you make only work if politically-informed people share our knowledge with the apathetic. And this doesn't have to be preachy or direct, even passive exposure and "didjyahearabout" conversations will accumulate.
I can get behind that. I certainly don't intend to do nothing. 'Oh, the Aussie Trump' has passed my lips more than once.
You raise good points of which I am not unaware, although I'd suggest (technofuedalist controlled) social media is more a threat, and sadly more intractable, than Murdoch et.al. today (not sure what scope you meant by mass media).
That's a great point about social media, especially considering the biggest examples (Meta group, Twitter) are owned by some of the most ultrawealthy people on Earth, with technofeudal ambitions. I was thinking about more traditional media so I'm glad you emphasised social media.