United Kingdom
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I've heard it's full of old conservatives, so probably Farage will win. I'd love to be wrong though.
If it's close, it's still a humiliation so it's a win in my book.
Farage won with 33% last time with the remaining 67% split between candidates
If the same people vote again but that 67% go for binface he has already lost.
Hell if only 50% of that 67% vote for binface he still loses
Thing is, our system is heavily reliant of FPTP. FPTP has no effect when there's literally only two candidates