this post was submitted on 31 Jul 2026
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Play stupid games and win stupid prizes.
Preventing one of your biggest customers (China) from getting the equipment they need forces them to make it themselves.
Now China can make their own DUV lithography machines of similar quality to the ones they can get from ASML.
And obviously it won't stop there, China will continue to improve, and probably in a few years compete with ASML on the high end EUV equipment too.
Politicians, and even corporate C-suite, often confuse "cheaper to buy from the incumbent" with "incumbent has impossible-to-replicate technology," completely ignoring that it's way easier to invent something the second time.
Technology might have been a barrier in 1960's China, but they're a peer nation today.
That and the NVIDIA ban on China both backfired spectacularly
Absolutely, although China can't match Nvidia yet, they can now make chips that are good enough for 90% of the tasks.
Nvidia can no longer sell their second rate products developed specially for China anymore either.
Worth mentioning that this export restriction was only enforced because of continuous pressure from the US.
maybe we shouldn't allow USA to decide European foreign policy? Just a thought.